I think if 40 million is on the cards he would have very a good due diligence team in place.
I wouldn't be so sure. He has bombed a lot of money in the past - even with a "good" due diligence team in place.
He bankrupted One.Tel.
Went to Las Vegas to get involved in the property development over there - lost his shirt.
Was worth $7.25B in 2007, today is net worth is $4.5B.
If anything Packer buying is probably a sign that the coupon industry is at a top rather than a beginning of a "new era" and to be honest I think there is a lot of mania going around about the "potential" of these businesses.
I'm not saying there isn't a market there and businesses can make good money in these industries - but they aren't goldmines - because unlike gold - they don't make anything tangible, they are everywhere and are difficult to defend. There's no brand loyalty like there is to brands like Apple, Coca Cola, Google, Nintendo, because there is no restriction on who an individual buys their coupons from.
So in a situation where businesses don't produce anything of sustainable "value" and don't have a method of locking out competition a race to the bottom is inevitable.
Also I read not long ago Groupon is looking to make an IPO for $25B with $460M in revenue.
That gives it a PE of 54 on a business model that hasn't existed at scale for 3 years!
Um can anyone else spell - BUBBLE. Let's hope the rest of the tech industry doesn't get caught up in it again.