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1%-2% Yearly Registration Growth is the New Normal

snoopy

Top Contributor
Some research out from Verisign today and it does highlight real growth rates for domain names. .Com.au growth rate of around 2% is above average.

.Com.au is doing far better than .uk for example which has been stagnant for 5 years (10.6 million registrations). It has been stagnant since the year of the direct registration proposal (2012). But that may just be coincidence as the big cctlds are going nowhere or seeing much lower growth than in the past regardless of whether they allow direct registrations or not.

Total country-code TLD (ccTLD) domain name registrations were approximately 143.1 million, a 0.3 percent increase over the fourth quarter of 2016, and a 1.7 percent increase year over year.

The report

https://www.verisign.com/en_US/domain-names/dnib/index.xhtml#home

With ntld growth rates now turning negative it is very clear that the au ccdld does not need changing because of any threat posed by new tlds either

Screen Shot 2017-07-19 at 1.06.01 pm.png

New tld numbers "falling through the floor"

Screen Shot 2017-07-19 at 1.14.29 pm.png
 

DomainNames

Top Contributor
The issue is some people at auDA and the auDA Board think the additional competing direct .au will see another 3 million names sold... equaling more money for them!

The global facts prove them wrong but hey.. keep selling the lies to your investors...who will also peddle the same myth to their own investors etc.

...Some people would be perfect running Ponzi schemes.... It appears some of the new extensions are not too different
 

snoopy

Top Contributor
The issue is some people at auDA and the auDA Board think the additional competing direct .au will see another 3 million names sold... equaling more money for them!

Agree it is just not going to happen. The market has matured and the days of fast growth are over globally, there is a no big pool of extra money for domain registrations,. The new tld market (which is what .au would be) is now particularly bad where negative growth is now the norm.

The risk is that we end up with a result like .uk where the the new extension slows down overall interest even further because of the uncertainty. With both .nz and .uk the new extensions simply took registrations from the old, with overall growth rates falling sharply in both markets.
 

snoopy

Top Contributor
Have been told by someone with some more detailed stats that .com.au is at around 3% growth whilst .net is seeing negative growth (hence the lower overall figure in the chart).
 

DomainNames

Top Contributor
Agree it is just not going to happen. The market has matured and the days of fast growth are over globally, there is a no big pool of extra money for domain registrations,. The new tld market (which is what .au would be) is now particularly bad where negative growth is now the norm.

The risk is that we end up with a result like .uk where the the new extension slows down overall interest even further because of the uncertainty. With both .nz and .uk the new extensions simply took registrations from the old, with overall growth rates falling sharply in both markets.

So why have auDA's CEO and the auDA Board not faced the true facts?
Are they really thinking they will make massive more profits..and in some cases personal bonuses?
What is the declared position for:
Ausregistry George Pongas. Will he make any bonuses etc? Obviously they want to sell more names but 3 million more.. come on George get serious
I call Bullshi$. Trying to flog a new extension is not "innovation" it was attempted "profiteering" from an incumbent wholesale registry with no previous proper auDA oversight
https://www.ausregistry.com.au/product-innovation-will-produce-the-next-3-million-au-domains/


Crazy Domains? Obviously they would want to sell more names
auDA CEO - Cameron Boardman? What is his current Incentive bonus declaration so members can review it?
 

DomainNames

Top Contributor
The fact is good .com.au generics will remain valuable. A lot of "crap" is being dropped.
What auDA, the auDA Board and Ausregistry have done is shoot themselves in the foot. By saying .au will be better than .com.au they have hurt the industry and confused investors and possible .au buyers... Now more than ever people are using APPS and they do not even need a domain name or website. Adding another competing.au will not stop that.

by the way Ausregistry and others in supply are the same companies flogging other competing domain name extensions!

WAKE UP AUDA.
 

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